Battleground state review

Ok folks...a lot of pundits have been piling on our guy Kerry of late, but we here at ToughEnough.org aren't really sure why. Here are the facts, state by state:

17 battlground states (most recent polls except NH, linked below):

Arkansas: Kerry 45%, Bush 45%

Arizona: Bush 41%, Kerry 38%

Florida: Bush 46%, Kerry 45%

Iowa: Kerry 47%, Bush 46%

Maine: Kerry 51%, Bush 38%

Michigan: Kerry 47%, Bush 43%

Minnesota: Kerry 50%, Bush 38%

Missouri: Bush 49%, Kerry 42%

Nevada: Bush 49%, Kerry 38%

New Hampshire: Kerry 49%, Bush 45% (link)

New Mexico: Bush 46%, Kerry 45%

Ohio: Kerry 46%, Bush 44%

Oregon: Kerry 48%, Bush 46%

Pennsylvania: Kerry 42%, Bush 42%

Washington: Kerry 45%, Bush 41%

Wisconsin: Kerry 45%, Bush 41%

West Virginia: Bush 46%, Kerry 41%


Kerry is tied or ahead in the following 'red' states: Ohio, Florida, New Hampshire, Arkansas and Arizona.

Bush is tied or ahead in the following 'blue' states: Pennsylvania, New Mexico, Iowa.

Forget Bush's narrow lead in recent national polls and focus on this - Kerry has the electoral advantage NOT Bush according to all the most recent battleground polls.